![]() So, it's worth taking a look at the surprise history for gauging its influence on the upcoming number.įor the last reported quarter, it was expected that Blueprint Medicines would post a loss of $2.23 per share when it actually produced a loss of $2.68, delivering a surprise of -20.18%. While calculating estimates for a company's future earnings, analysts often consider to what extent it has been able to match past consensus estimates. So, this combination indicates that Blueprint Medicines will most likely beat the consensus EPS estimate.ĭoes Earnings Surprise History Hold Any Clue? On the other hand, the stock currently carries a Zacks Rank of #3. ![]() This has resulted in an Earnings ESP of +1.49%. How Have the Numbers Shaped Up for Blueprint Medicines?įor Blueprint Medicines, the Most Accurate Estimate is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, suggesting that analysts have recently become bullish on the company's earnings prospects. Our research shows that it is difficult to predict an earnings beat with any degree of confidence for stocks with negative Earnings ESP readings and/or Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) or 5 (Strong Sell). Please note that a negative Earnings ESP reading is not indicative of an earnings miss. The idea here is that analysts revising their estimates right before an earnings release have the latest information, which could potentially be more accurate than what they and others contributing to the consensus had predicted earlier. The Zacks Earnings ESP compares the Most Accurate Estimate to the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the quarter the Most Accurate Estimate is a more recent version of the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate. Our proprietary surprise prediction model - the Zacks Earnings ESP (Expected Surprise Prediction) - has this insight at its core. Investors should keep in mind that an aggregate change may not always reflect the direction of estimate revisions by each of the covering analysts.Įstimate revisions ahead of a company's earnings release offer clues to the business conditions for the period whose results are coming out. This is essentially a reflection of how the covering analysts have collectively reassessed their initial estimates over this period. The consensus EPS estimate for the quarter has been revised 2.42% lower over the last 30 days to the current level. Revenues are expected to be $43.49 million, up 79.8% from the year-ago quarter. This cancer drug developer is expected to post quarterly loss of $2.51 per share in its upcoming report, which represents a year-over-year change of -25.5%. While the sustainability of the immediate price change and future earnings expectations will mostly depend on management's discussion of business conditions on the earnings call, it's worth handicapping the probability of a positive EPS surprise. On the other hand, if they miss, the stock may move lower. The stock might move higher if these key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on November 1. While this widely-known consensus outlook is important in gauging the company's earnings picture, a powerful factor that could impact its near-term stock price is how the actual results compare to these estimates. Wall Street expects a year-over-year decline in earnings on higher revenues when Blueprint Medicines (BPMC) reports results for the quarter ended September 2022.
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